probablys.ai

The consensus favourite and reigning European champions — but Lamine Yamal's hamstring injury six weeks out has cracked the certainty wide open.

◆ You're in line with the crowd

A favourable Group D (Paraguay, Australia, a playoff side) plus home advantage; Pochettino has openly said this team can win the whole thing.

◆ You're in line with the crowd

No nation has gone back-to-back in 60+ years; an ageing core and 'most likely to disappoint' chatter cut against Messi's farewell magic.

◆ You're in line with the crowd

He sits four goals shy of the all-time record — needs France to go deep and his usual knockout-round output.

◆ You're in line with the crowd

Mexico v South Africa (Jun 11), then USA v Paraguay and Canada v Bosnia (Jun 12) — three spotlight games in 48 hours, none a gimme.

◆ You're in line with the crowd

Pundits argue the 48-team expansion needs a Cinderella to feel justified — Portugal, the Netherlands and a dark horse are circling.

◆ You're in line with the crowd